The year 2020 has been a hot mess from start to finish. While the threat of the Wuhan virus was brewing in China, the Democrats were still fixated on their pointless crusade to impeach President Trump.
New York Governor Cuomo sent thousands of seniors to an early grave with his COVID-19 nursing home policy, along with other blue state governors. There was George Floyd, ensuing rioting that cost at least as much as 2 billion dollars in damages, and a murder spree in mostly Democratic-run cities amid the “defund the police” nonsense.
Despite the long-abandoned promises of “15 days to flatten the curve,” we still have unreasonable and illegal state lockdowns… and it’s October. President Trump got COVID, along with the First Lady and several advisers, which made many on the left feel “happy” and some subsequently wished he would die. The president has apparently recovered and is now already thinking about doing rallies. We still have 25 days to go until the November election.
How is America feeling? According to a new Gallup poll, much better than under the final years of the Obama administration.
Gallup: “Most Say They Are Better Off Now Than Four Years Ago”
— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) October 9, 2020
“During his presidential campaign in 1980, Ronald Reagan asked Americans, ‘Are you better off today than you were four years ago?’ Since then, this question has served as a key standard that sitting presidents running for reelection have been held to,” the press release reads.
“Gallup’s most recent survey found a clear majority of registered voters (56%) saying they are better off now than they were four years ago, while 32% said they are worse off.”
President Trump highlighted the news on Twitter, calling it “pretty amazing.”
The Gallup Poll has just come out with the incredible finding that 56% of you say that you are better off today, during a pandemic, than you were four years ago (OBiden). Highest number on record! Pretty amazing!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 9, 2020
Another interesting nugget from the Gallup poll is that more registered voters surveyed report they agree with Donald Trump’s policies more than Joe Biden’s.
The issue at stake this election is if voters perceive Joe Biden’s policies as leading to a brighter “future” for the United States than it would be under Donald Trump. If one goes by the indication in the Gallup poll, there is little to suggest that voters have confidence the country would get better under a Biden administration. Indeed, more Americans in legitimate polls without high Democrat voter oversampling have greater economic confidence in Donald Trump’s leadership.
It is erroneous to draw sweeping conclusions from national surveys, but they can give us a divining rod on trends that the more targeted polling is missing. There are many reasons why major national polls undercount Trump support. For example, the so-called “shy Trump voter” effect, which is explained below.
“Republican and independent voters are twice as likely to not reveal their true preference for president in a telephone poll,” Fox News summarizes. “CloudResearch, an online market research and data collection company, found that 11.7% of Republicans and 10.5% of independents said they wouldn’t share their true opinion, while only 5.4% of Democrats said the same.”
An outstanding proxy measure for assessing how voters might actually feel is how they think their neighbors will vote. In the battleground state of Pennsylvania, for example, a poll has detected a subcurrent among voters that suggests there is more to the story than many polls let on.
“Pennsylvania voters support Joe Biden by 13 percentage points over President Donald Trump, according to a poll released Wednesday,” Bloomberg reports, “but a majority also believe their neighbors secretly support the president and that Biden may still lose.”
The mainstream news media and esteemed members of ‘polite society’ may be doing their utmost to shame and stigmatize Trump supporters, but they cannot dispel an obvious fact: Democrat policies are an abject failure.
Even in a nation when many Democratic politicians appear to be doing their worst to make sure Americans feel the worst about their country before a major election, and thus get the “change” they so desperately desire, the polls show that most Americans still feel better off than they did four years ago.